e-infrastructure Roadmap for Open Science in Agriculture

A bibliometric study

The e-ROSA project seeks to build a shared vision of a future sustainable e-infrastructure for research and education in agriculture in order to promote Open Science in this field and as such contribute to addressing related societal challenges. In order to achieve this goal, e-ROSA’s first objective is to bring together the relevant scientific communities and stakeholders and engage them in the process of coelaboration of an ambitious, practical roadmap that provides the basis for the design and implementation of such an e-infrastructure in the years to come.

This website highlights the results of a bibliometric analysis conducted at a global scale in order to identify key scientists and associated research performing organisations (e.g. public research institutes, universities, Research & Development departments of private companies) that work in the field of agricultural data sources and services. If you have any comment or feedback on the bibliometric study, please use the online form.

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Title

Developing Crop Price Forecasting Service Using Open Data from Taiwan Markets

en
Abstract

From the perspective of agricultural business, the market price of certain crop reflects the demand of that crop in current stage. Therefore, to track and to forecast the market prices are both important tasks in agri-management, by which the production schedule can be adjusted to increase the profit. For tracking the crop prices, the Council of Agriculture (COA) establishes an official website that provides open data of daily market prices from over 15 local markets with more than 100 different crops in Taiwan. Recently, the smart agri-management platform (S.A.M.P.) is developed by the Institute for Information Industry (III) as an integrated cloud service for agri-business. Inspired by the open data of crop prices, in this paper we develop a crop price forecasting service on S.A.M.P., which automatically retrieves the historical prices on the official website as training dataset, and provides the price forecasting service with some well-known algorithms for time series analysis. The algorithms implemented in this paper are the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), the partial least square (PLS), and the artificial neural network (ANN). In addition, for PLS we further integrate the response surface methodology (RSM), deriving a new algorithm RSMPLS, by which the non-linear relationship between historical prices can be investigated. We compare the performance of these four algorithms with the price data obtained from the First Fruit and Vegetable Wholesale Market in Taipei. The experimented crops are cabbage, bok choy, watermelon, and cauliflower. According to the experimental results, PLS and ANN are of lower error in percentages. In addition, PLS and ANN are recommended for short term and long term forecasting, respectively.

en
Year
2015
en
Country
  • TW
Organization
    Data keywords
    • open data
    en
    Agriculture keywords
    • agriculture
    en
    Data topic
    • information systems
    • modeling
    en
    SO
    2015 CONFERENCE ON TECHNOLOGIES AND APPLICATIONS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (TAAI)
    Document type

    Inappropriate format for Document type, expected simple value but got array, please use list format

    Institutions 10 co-publis
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      e-ROSA - e-infrastructure Roadmap for Open Science in Agriculture has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 730988.
      Disclaimer: The sole responsibility of the material published in this website lies with the authors. The European Union is not responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained therein.